Bitcoin Pi Cycle Bottom indicator today ← is the bottom in?

The Pi Cycle Bottom indicator, a companion to the Pi Cycle Top from LookIntoBitcoin, watches the 150-day exponential moving average against 0.745 times the 471-day simple moving average.

Now
EMA/band 1.17
signal off · fires when EMA150 < 0.745·SMA471
This cycle
not fired
closest: EMA/band 1.03 · since the Oct 6, 2025 ATH
Bear market bottom
LIKELY IN
6 of 10 signals fired this cycle · full verdict →

How it's computed

150-day EMA of daily closes versus 0.745 × the 471-day SMA. The signal fires while the EMA is below that band.

Reading it

On our data the EMA dropped under the band on 17 December 2018, two days after that cycle's low, and from July 2022 to March 2023 around the November 2022 low. It did not fire in 2026: the EMA came within a few percent of the band in July but stayed above it.

At past bottoms

Jan 2015 no data
Dec 2018 FIRED
Mar 2020 missed
Nov 2022 FIRED
Jun 2026 missed

Within 30 days of each cycle's lowest daily close.

The low is likely in. What matters now is knowing the moment anything changes. Pro DMs you on Telegram when any signal or the phase flips, on thresholds you set, plus the full signal history as CSV and an API key. Founding price $7/mo · 30-day free trial · cancel anytime
See Pro →

Questions

Did the Pi Cycle Bottom fire in 2026?

No. It came closest in July 2026 and has been moving away since price reclaimed its 200-day average.

Is the Pi Cycle Bottom the same as the Pi Cycle Top?

Same family, different lines. The top indicator uses the 111-day and 2 × 350-day averages crossing; the bottom uses the 150-day EMA and 0.745 × the 471-day SMA.

Other bottom indicators

Mayer Multiple · 200-week MA · Hash Ribbons · Puell Multiple · Drawdown from ATH · Fear & Greed · MVRV Z-Score · Realized price · 2-Year MA Multiplier · Production cost floor